20160826-兴业证券-A-Share_Daily_Express_21页_1mb
报告摘要
Summary of Industrial Securities Co., Ltd. Report
Core Content
The document provides an overview of the Chinese stock market performance, sector analysis, and company-specific insights, particularly focusing on Beijing Easpring Material Technology Co., Ltd. (300073.SZ). It includes market indices, daily headlines, company earnings, and investment research.
Market Indices
- SSE Composite: Closed at 3070.31, up 0.06%.
- SZSE Component: Closed at 10693.75, up 0.14%.
- ChiNext: Closed at 2189.75, up 0.42%.
- HSI: Closed at 22909.54, up 0.41%.
- HSCEI: Closed at 9550.04, up 0.48%.
- Total Market Volume: CNY 475.25 billion, down 7.01% from the previous day.
- Market Sentiment: Winners outnumbered losers by 1551-to-1000.
Sector Review
Winners
- Construction sector led the market, with notable performers:
- Longjian Road&Bridge Co., Ltd. (600853 SH): +10.07%
- Zhejiang Huatie Construction Safety Science and Technology Co., Ltd. (603300 SH): +10.02%
- Pharmaceutical sector also performed well:
- Qianjiang Yongan Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (002365 SZ): +10.01%
- Shanghai Kehua Bio-Engineering Co., Ltd. (002022 SZ): +9.99%
Losers
- Real Estate sector dragged the market:
- Hunan Tianrun Digital Entertainment & Cultural Media Co., Ltd. (002113 SZ): -10.00%
- Yinyi Real Estate Co., Ltd. (000981 SZ): -9.29%
- Securities Broker sector ranked second in losses:
- The Pacific Securities Co., Ltd. (601099 SH): -1.79%
- Guoyuan Securities Company Limited (000728 SZ): -1.42%
Daily Headlines
- Consumer Goods Policy: China aims to improve the quality of consumer goods and introduce a negative list system for producers and sellers.
- Bank Earnings: China Construction Bank and Bank of Communications reported stable bad-loan ratios after a period of increase.
- Insurance Profit: China Life Insurance saw a significant drop in first-half profit due to stock market declines.
- Container Shipping Loss: China Cosco Holdings posted a first-half loss due to excess capacity.
- Digital Wallet Approval: Ant Financial and Tencent received approval to operate digital wallets in Hong Kong.
- Hong Kong IPO Regulation: Tightening of IPO approval processes is underway.
- China-Japan Relations: Premier Li Keqiang emphasized the need for positive development in bilateral relations.
Latest Company News
- Bank of Communications: 1H net income of 37.7 billion yuan, slightly above estimates.
- Chalco: 1H net income of 57.4 million yuan, up 1.54 million yuan YoY.
- China Construction Bank: 1H net income of 133.4 billion yuan, slightly above estimates.
- China Cosco: 1H net loss of 7.21 billion yuan.
- China Life: 1H net income of 10.4 billion yuan, down from 31.5 billion yuan YoY.
- China Railway: Plans to invest at least 80 billion yuan in Guiyang over five years.
- Citic Bank: 1H net income of 23.6 billion yuan, up 22.6 billion yuan YoY.
- Daqin Railway: 1H net income of 3.68 billion yuan, down from 7.34 billion yuan YoY.
- Hundsun Tech: 1H net income of 164.1 million yuan, down from 211.1 million yuan YoY.
- Shanghai Electric: 1H net income of 596.1 million yuan, down from 714.5 million yuan YoY.
- ZTE: 1H net income of 1.77 billion yuan, up from 1.62 billion yuan YoY.
Research and Investment Insights
Beijing Easpring Material Technology Co., Ltd. (300073.SZ)
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Key Financial Indicators:
- Revenue (Mn/CNY): 860 (2015A), 1305 (2016E), 1524 (2017E), 1729 (2018E)
- Net Profit (Mn/CNY): 13 (2015A), 106 (2016E), 174 (2017E), 219 (2018E)
- Gross Margin (%): 8.3%, 17.4%, 19.6%, 20.9%
- Net Profit Margin (%): 1.5%, 8.1%, 11.4%, 12.7%
- ROE (%): 1.1%, 7.8%, 11.4%, 12.6%
- EPS (CNY): 0.07, 0.58, 0.95, 1.20
- OCFPS (CNY): 0.06, 0.35, 0.70, 0.90
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Performance Highlights:
- H116 Revenue Growth: 62.14% YoY to CNY 553 Mn.
- H116 Net Profit Growth: 3715.8% YoY to CNY 0.37.
- Q216 Revenue Growth: 74.94% YoY to CNY 324 Mn.
- Q216 Net Profit Growth: 330.92% YoY to CNY 21 Mn.
- EPS Q216: CNY 0.11.
- Operating Cash Flow: CNY -0.29/share.
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Investment Outlook:
- Rating: Buy (Initiation).
- EPS Forecast: CNY 0.58 (2016), CNY 0.95 (2017), CNY 1.20 (2018).
- Potential Risks: Underperformance in the new energy vehicle industry, unexpected fluctuations in raw material prices.
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Company Profile:
- Engages in research, development, production, and distribution of energy materials.
- Offers lithium battery positive electrode materials, including lithium cobalt oxide, multivariant materials, and lithium manganate.
- Founded in 2001 and based in Beijing, China.
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Key Events:
- Acquired 100% of Beijing Zodngoc Automatic Technology Co., Ltd. in 2015.
- Consolidated financial reports with Zodngoc in August 2015.
- Gross Margin Improvement: Jumped 11.2 percentage points to 14.36%.
- Cost Ratio: Edged up slightly to 8.73%.
- Net Profit Rate: Increased by 3.81 percentage points to 6.41%.
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Growth Drivers:
- Strong demand from the new energy vehicle industry.
- High gross margins of nickelic ternary material.
- Consolidated financial reports from Zodngoc.
- Expansion of production capacity in Jiangsu Dangsheng.
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Cost Stabilization:
- Lithium carbonate prices fell from CNY 0.18Mn/metric ton to CNY 0.14Mn/metric ton.
- Stable costs help maintain profit margins.
- Long-term agreements with international suppliers further stabilize costs.
PPP Projects Overview
- Total Scale: Reached CNY 12 trillion in Q3, up from CNY 10.6 trillion in Q2.
- Implementation Rate: 11.7% of all PPP projects started in Q3.
- Investment: Amounted to CNY 1.4 trillion in Q3.
- Sector Focus:
- Transportation & Civil Engineering: Over 50% of PPP projects.
- Highways: Rapid growth in new projects.
- Rail Projects: Less attractive compared to other sectors.
- Regional Trends: New PPP projects are shifting to provinces with fewer projects before.
- Government Spending: Indicates higher supervision risk of debt.
- PPP Investment in 2016: Estimated to be CNY 90 million, taking up 5% of total infrastructure investment.
Analysts and Contact
- Analysts:
- Han Wang, PhD (wanghan@xyzq.com.cn)
- Xu Liuming (xuliuming@xyzq.com.cn)
- Zheng Fangbiao (zhengfb@xyzq.com.cn)
- Assistant Analysts:
- Zhuang Weibin (zhuangwb@xyzq.com.cn)
- Lu Yang (luyang@xyzq.com.cn)
Investment Recommendations
- Beijing Easpring: Buy rating, with strong growth expectations.
- Jointown Pharmaceutical Group: Buy (Maintained) rating, due to strong growth momentum and new business expansion.
- Shenzhen O-Film Tech: Buy (Maintained) rating, due to strong growth in AMOLED and fingerprint recognition businesses.
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