2025-04-11-莱坊-Brisbane_CBD_Office_State_of_the_Market_Q1_2025_2页_413kb
报告摘要
Brisbane CBD State of the Market Summary
Core Content Overview
The Brisbane CBD commercial real estate market is experiencing a gradual stabilization with signs of increased investor activity and new supply coming online in 2025. Prime and secondary markets are showing modest rent growth, while incentives and yields remain relatively stable. The market is expected to see more successful investment campaigns this year, supported by transaction activity and ongoing development projects.
Key Market Trends
Prime Market
- Gross Face Rent: Increased by 0.6% in Q1-25, reflecting a slowdown from the 3.1% quarterly growth in Q4. Annual growth remains strong at 11.8%.
- Gross Incentive: Slightly reduced to 38.5%, with a -25bps quarterly change and a -50bps six-month change.
- Gross Effective Rent: Rose by 1.0% in Q1, driven by the face rent growth, with an annual increase of 12.7%.
- Median Yield: Stabilized at 7.25%, with a +20bps annual increase. Yields remain stable, supported by transaction activity.
Secondary Market
- Gross Face Rent: Increased by 2.0% in Q1, with a 4.2% annual growth. Small fitted suites are showing higher rent growth.
- Gross Incentive: Remained stable at 39.5%, with a -25bps quarterly change and a -150bps annual change.
- Gross Effective Rent: Rose by 2.4% in Q1, with a +6.8% annual increase.
- Median Yield: Stabilized at 8.50%, with a +27bps annual increase. Private investors and syndicates are active in the market.
New Supply in 2025
- 205 North Quay: The first new supply since 2022 will be occupied in tranches during 2025.
- 360 Queen St: Expected to complete in late 2025, with 74% pre-committed.
- Other Developments:
- 140 Elizabeth St (refurbishment): Under construction, expected to complete in H1 2025.
- 70 Eagle St (refurbishment): Under construction, with 50% pre-commitment.
- 205 North Quay: Under construction, with 100% pre-commitment.
Investor Activity
- Investor interest is growing, with a broadening range of buyers actively analyzing the market.
- The expectation is for more successful investment campaigns this year.
- Yields are stable across both prime and secondary markets, suggesting a balanced market environment.
Recent Tenant Commitments
| Tenant | Property | Precinct | Lease Type | Size (sqm) | Gross Face Rent ($/sqm) | Incentive (%) | Term (yrs) | Start Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HWL Ebsworth | 360 Queen St | Financial | Pre-com | 4,777 | u/d | u/d | 10 | 2026 |
| DWF | 71 Eagle St | Financial | Direct | 1,207 | u/d | u/d | 8 | Nov 25 |
| Dentons | 111 Eagle St | Financial | Direct | 1,433 | 1,350 | 35-40 | 10 | Sep 25 |
| QBCC | 80 Ann St | Legal | Direct | 4,501 | c960 | 35-40 | 10 | Aug 25 |
| Federal Govt. | 80 Ann St | Legal | Direct | 2,213 | c900 | 35-40 | 10 | Apr 25 |
Recent Sales
| Property | Price ($m) | NLA (sqm) | $/sqm | Yield (%) | WALE | Purchaser | Vendor | Sale Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53 Albert St (50%) | c110.0 | 19,059 | 11,534 | tbc | 3.5 | NTT/Realmont | JP Morgan | Jan 25 |
| 145 Ann Street | 215.50 | 27,552 | 7,822 | 7.80 | 3.0 | Aware Super | Dexus REIT | Dec 24 |
| 247 Adelaide St | 19.0 | 2,941 | 6,460 | 7.63 | n/a | Qld Country Bank | BWC Properties | Nov 24 |
| 60 Edward St | 72.0 | 10,634 | 6,773 | 8.29 | 2.3 | Sentinel Property Gp | RACQ | Oct 24 |
| 41 George Street | 123.0 | 29,463 | 4,175 | n/a | VP | Dexus/Marquette JV | AEPIM | Oct 24 |
Outlook
- Prime Market: Resistance is emerging to further rent uplift, indicating a potential plateau in growth.
- Secondary Market: Expected to catch up with the prime market, with continued demand for small spec suites.
- New Supply: Expected to increase in 2025, particularly with the completion of 205 North Quay and 360 Queen St, which are likely to influence market dynamics and rental rates.
Contact Information
- Office Leasing: Mark McCann, +61732468853, Mark.mccann@au.knightfrank.com
- Capital Markets: Justin Bond, +61732468872, Justin.bond@au.knightfrank.com
- Investment Sales: Matt Barker, +61732468810, Matthew.barker@au.knightfrank.com
Blake Goddard, +61732468848, Blake.goddard@au.knightfrank.com - Valuations & Advisory: Peter Zischke, +61731936811, Peter.Zischke@qld.knightfrankval.com
- Research & Consulting: Jennelle Wilson, +61732468830, Jennelle.wilson@au.knightfrank.com
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