2006-10-01-皮尤-Hispanics_and_the_2006_Election_23页_102kb

报告摘要

Summary of Hispanics and the 2006 Election Fact Sheet

Eligible Voters: In November 2006, an estimated 17.2 million Hispanics were eligible to vote, representing a 7% increase from 2004. Hispanics accounted for 8.6% of the U.S. electorate, up from 8.2% in 2004. Native-born Hispanics made up 75% of the eligible electorate, while naturalized citizens comprised 25%. The fastest growth occurred among second-generation Hispanics, with a 46% increase in their numbers.
Demographics: The overall eligible voter rate among Hispanics was 39%, lower than 77% for whites and 65% for blacks, due to many Latinos being non-citizens or not reaching voting age. Among native-born Hispanics, third-generation individuals (U.S.-born of U.S.-born parents) were the largest group, though they contributed minimally to the growth.
Registration Rates: Estimates for registered voters varied by scenario. Based on 2002 registration rates, about 9.2 million Hispanics would be registered, or 53% of eligible. At higher rates like 2004's 58%, up to 12.3 million could be registered. Registration rates differed slightly by nativity and age but were not significantly higher for native-born versus foreign-born Latinos.
Methodology: Estimates from the Pew Hispanic Center used data from the Current Population Survey (CPS) and demographic projections, calibrated with Census and Office of Immigration Statistics data. This provided figures for eligible and registered voters by state, congressional district, and nationally.
Geographic Distribution: High concentrations of Hispanic eligible voters were found in states like Texas (24.6% of eligible population), California (22.5%), and Florida (13.3%). Congressional districts with the highest shares included Texas District 16 (81.4%), Florida District 21 (73.0%), and others in similar ranges, varying by state.