IHS-2018年八大技术趋势（英文）-2017-16页-9mb

报告摘要

2018 Transformative Technologies Summary

Core Content Overview

In 2018, IHS Markit identified eight transformative technologies that are set to significantly impact industries and everyday life. These technologies—Artificial Intelligence (AI), Blockchain, Internet of Things (IoT), Machine Vision, Cloud & Virtualization, Connectivity, Ubiquitous Video, and Robotics & Drones—are converging and accelerating innovation across various sectors.

The report outlines how these technologies are evolving, with a focus on their development, adoption trends, and implications for businesses and consumers. It highlights that the pace of technological development has increased, enabling new applications and reshaping traditional business models.

Main Trends and Opportunities

Artificial Intelligence (AI)

AI is becoming a competitive differentiator in industries like smartphones and automotive.
AI solutions are being deployed both on-device and in the cloud, each with distinct advantages and challenges.
On-device AI offers better privacy and low-latency performance, while cloud AI provides more computing power and scalability.
Key players like Apple, Huawei, and Google are integrating AI capabilities into their hardware and software ecosystems.
AI is expected to be a core component in semi-autonomous and fully autonomous vehicles.

Internet of Things (IoT)

The global IoT device base is projected to grow from 27 billion in 2017 to 73 billion by 2025.
IoT adoption follows four stages: Connect, Collect, Compute, and Create.
Enhanced connectivity (e.g., LPWA, 5G) and edge computing are driving IoT growth.
IoT platforms are evolving to offer more sophisticated analytics and will face increased competition.
Data exchange brokerages (DEBs) will be essential for unlocking cross-domain insights and enabling vertical growth.

Cloud & Virtualization

Cloud computing enables technologically immature companies to leverage AI and machine learning.
Cloud providers are forming strategic partnerships with enterprise software vendors to enhance their offerings.
Off-premises cloud services are expanding, with increased focus on containerization and hybrid cloud environments.
Companies like IBM, VMware, and Red Hat are strengthening their cloud alliances.

Connectivity

5G is emerging as a key enabler for IoT and mission-critical applications.
While 5G is the focus in 2018, other connectivity forms like LPWA, private LTE, D2D, and fiber will continue to play important roles.
5G will expand the scope of connectivity beyond traditional use cases, including high-speed IoT and low-latency applications.
LTE-M and NB-IoT are expected to remain relevant for IoT connectivity well into the next decade.

Ubiquitous Video

Video is becoming more prevalent across consumer and enterprise devices, driving data growth and new applications.
Video quality is improving, with HD, 4K, and HDR becoming standard, and 8K emerging in 2018.
The proliferation of displays, including HDR and OLED, is enhancing the video experience and enabling new use cases like digital signage and telepresence.
Video is a major driver of data traffic, with over 50% of mobile data being video content in mature markets.

Robotics & Drones

These technologies are enhancing data collection in new environments and enabling advanced automation.
They are integrated with AI and IoT to provide real-time insights and support industrial applications.
Drones and robots are playing a growing role in surveillance, logistics, and manufacturing.

Key Technologies and Their Impact

AI

Core: AI is used for learning, problem-solving, and decision-making.
Applications: Smartphones, healthcare, automotive, and security.
Trend: AI is moving from cloud-based to on-device, with increasing focus on privacy and performance.

IoT

Core: Enabling connectivity and embedded intelligence in devices.
Stages: Connect, Collect, Compute, Create.
Trend: IoT growth is driven by enhanced connectivity and edge computing, leading to new applications and monetization opportunities.

Cloud & Virtualization

Core: Cloud computing provides scalable, shared IT resources.
Trend: Cloud is facilitating AI and ML adoption, with a focus on hybrid and containerized environments.
Opportunities: Strategic partnerships and in-house development are key to enhancing cloud capabilities.

Connectivity

Core: Enabling communication between devices and systems.
Trend: 5G is becoming the focus for next-generation connectivity, with other technologies like LPWA and private LTE also playing a role.
Impact: 5G will support a wide range of IoT and mission-critical applications.

Ubiquitous Video

Core: Video content is accessible and consumable anywhere.
Trend: Video is expanding beyond entertainment into industrial, medical, and security applications.
Impact: Video is driving data traffic and requiring significant infrastructure investments.

Robotics & Drones

Core: Enabling automation and data collection.
Trend: Integration with AI and IoT is leading to more advanced applications.
Impact: These technologies are reshaping industries like logistics, manufacturing, and surveillance.

Conclusion

The convergence of these transformative technologies is expected to drive significant innovation and disruption across multiple industries in 2018. With the acceleration of AI, IoT, and connectivity, businesses and consumers are poised to benefit from enhanced capabilities, new services, and improved efficiency. A strategic, ecosystem-driven approach will be essential for leveraging these technologies effectively.

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