2025年世界白银调查(英)-2025_92页_17mb
报告摘要
World Silver Survey 2025 Summary
Overview
- Silver experienced its fourth consecutive major deficit, measuring 148.9 million ounces, equivalent to 4,632 tonnes annually.
- The physical investment market remained stagnant in 2024 due to concerns about macroeconomic and geopolitical factors.
- The US dollar maintained strength throughout the year, impacting silver prices and global trade flows.
Market Outlook
- Silver finished 2024 15% below its 2023 price level, closing at $28.27 per ounce.
- The market deficit narrowed by 26% on a year-over-year basis, reflecting a declining surplus of 45 million ounces.
- Silver's performance lagged behind its industrial would-be appeal due to above-ground inventories remaining plentiful and a higher gold-to-silver ratio, contrasting with its industrial applications.
Investment
- Industrial investment saw another record high in 2024, totaling 680.5 million ounces, boosted by green energy demand and artificial intelligence applications.
- Physical investment saw a significant drop in the United States, falling 46% to 64.9 million ounces, but India emerged as a key driver in global demand due to speculative buying.
- Silver prices reached a five-year high of $34.8 per ounce in early March 2025, signaling stronger investor interest, but prompt-taking limited sustained gains.
Mine Production
- Global mined silver supply in 2024 reached approximately 25,497 tonnes, up 0.9% from 2023, with major increases in output from India, Mexico, and Chile, partially offset by declines in China and Peru.
- Mexico led production growth, with Fresnillo and Peñasquito mines recording substantial output.
Recycling
- Recycling rose to a 12-year high of 6,032 tonnes, primarily driven by gains in jewelry, silverware, and electronics sectors, reflecting increased price incentive globally.
Bullion Trade
- Silver bullion imports in India surged 115% to 7,695 tonnes, making it the largest importer globally.
- Chinese exports of silver reached 4,240 tonnes, maintaining their position as a key player in the global bullion trade.
Industrial & Photography
- Industrial demand climbed by 4% in 2024, reaching 21,165 tonnes, stimulated by electrical equipment and green energy applications.
- Photography demand continued its structural decline, falling 3% in 2024 to 792 tonnes, reflecting ongoing shifts to digital imaging.
Jewelry & Silverware
- Jewelry fabrication increased by 3% in 2024, with India and Thailand performing exceptionally well.
- Silverware demand fell by 2%, with India-led price-led losses contributing significantly to the decline.
Supporting Institutions
- MKS PAMP supports the World Silver Institute as a sponsor of the 2025 edition.
- Metals Focus is the primary consultancy producing the World Silver Survey.
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