2009年-世界发展银行全球_The_Kyrgyz_Republic___Farm_Mechanization_and_Agricultural_Productivity_74页_1mb
报告摘要
Summary of "Farm Mechanization and Agricultural Productivity" in the Kyrgyz Republic
Core Content
This document examines the status of farm mechanization in the Kyrgyz Republic and its impact on agricultural productivity, particularly in wheat production. It outlines key challenges and policy recommendations aimed at improving the sector's efficiency and sustainability.
Main Findings
- Low Agricultural Productivity: The Kyrgyz Republic's agricultural productivity, especially grain yields, is low due to underinvestment in farm machinery.
- Machinery Deficit: There is a significant shortage of agricultural machinery, with a 40% deficit in tractors and 45% in combine harvesters.
- Impact on Food Security: The lack of mechanization has led to reduced wheat production and increased reliance on imports, especially from Kazakhstan.
- Small Farm Size: Most farmers (97%) are subsistence farmers, but about 70% of arable land is used by commercial farms. Small farms are less able to afford mechanization, while larger farms face limited access to finance.
- Financial Constraints: Access to credit is limited, with only 8–11% of agricultural loans being long-term. The private sector's capacity to invest in machinery is constrained by high interest rates and short repayment periods.
- Leasing as a Solution: Leasing is a potential medium-term financial instrument for financing machinery, though it is underutilized in the Kyrgyz Republic, with only USD1.7 million in leasing operations in 2008.
- Government Interventions: The government has attempted to address the machinery deficit through grants and subsidies, but these efforts have often been ineffective or unsustainable.
Key Policy Recommendations
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Promote Demand for Farm Machinery
- Develop credit lines for agricultural productive assets.
- Encourage leasing and facilitate access to second-hand equipment.
- Test and demonstrate the efficiency of farm machinery for small-scale farming.
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Increase Supply of Farm Machinery
- Support the development of mechanical services contracting.
- Improve access to machinery import markets, including for second-hand equipment.
- Encourage the production and import of diverse machinery types.
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Remove Obstacles to Private Investment
- Avoid in-kind distribution of machinery or inputs.
- Do not set production targets for specific crops.
- Ensure the private sector is free to fulfill its role in the agricultural sector.
Challenges and Risks
- Inefficient Government Interventions: Past initiatives, such as the Japanese and Chinese grants, have faced challenges like low repayment rates and lack of after-sales support.
- Market Distortions: Subsidizing interest rates leads to market distortions, including rent-seeking and reduced incentives for private investment.
- Need for Sustainable Approaches: The government should avoid assuming the role of the private sector and instead support the development of independent institutions.
Financial Analysis
- Estimated Financial Gap: The FAO analysis revised the financial gap for machinery replacement from USD600–700 million to USD400 million.
- Investment Packages: Financial returns on farm mechanization investments are estimated to range from 12% to 18%, indicating potential for profitability.
- Cost of Machinery: Tractors are more versatile and affordable compared to combine harvesters, which are expensive and limited in use.
Conclusion
Farm mechanization is crucial for improving agricultural productivity and food security in the Kyrgyz Republic. However, the sector faces significant challenges, including financial constraints, small farm sizes, and inefficient government interventions. The policy note recommends a shift towards market-oriented approaches, including the promotion of leasing and credit mechanisms, to support sustainable investment in agricultural machinery.
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