2010年-世界发展银行全球_Guyana___Agricultural_Insurance_Component_Pre-feasibility_Study_Report_184页_7mb
报告摘要
Summary of the Agricultural Insurance Component Pre-feasibility Study Report for Guyana
Core Content
This report presents a pre-feasibility study on the development of agricultural insurance in Guyana, focusing on four key sectors: rice, fruit and vegetables, livestock, and aquaculture. It is financed by the All ACP Agricultural Commodities Programme and the European Commission, with the World Bank leading the study. The report outlines the context, challenges, and potential options for introducing agricultural insurance in Guyana, emphasizing the need for a robust institutional framework and tailored insurance products.
Main Objectives of the Study
- Identify institutional, operational, technical, and financial challenges in developing agricultural insurance solutions.
- Assess the potential for introducing insurance products in key agricultural sectors.
- Evaluate the feasibility of different insurance models based on Guyana's specific conditions.
- Recommend strategies for the successful implementation of agricultural insurance in the country.
Context of Guyana
- Guyana is a small, low-income, sparsely-populated country with a population of about 751,000 (2002 Census), 28.4% of whom live in urban areas.
- Agriculture is a vital sector, contributing around 30% to GDP, 50% to employment, and 30% to export earnings.
- The country is vulnerable to excess rain, flooding, and periodic El Niño-related droughts, especially in the coastal plain region.
- The Climate Adaptation Plan (CAP) is being developed to address these risks, including the introduction of innovative financial risk management and insurance measures.
Challenges for Agricultural Insurance Development
Institutional Challenges
- No existing agricultural insurance provision in Guyana.
- Limited awareness among farmers about agricultural insurance.
- No clear national policy framework for agricultural insurance.
- Need for a well-defined Private-Public Partnership (PPP) to support the development of agricultural insurance.
- Potential need for amendments to the insurance regulatory framework to authorize agricultural insurance.
Technical Challenges
- Limited availability of data and information for fruit and vegetable production and livestock mortality.
- High variability in individual farmer yields within rice production zones, leading to basis risk.
- Insufficient quality meteorological data for weather index insurance products.
- Agricultural production in Guyana is heavily influenced by both natural and man-made factors, making some risks predictable and not insurable.
Financial Challenges
- Farmers have low capacity to afford insurance premiums.
- Private insurance companies lack the financial resources and technical expertise to invest in agricultural insurance.
- Concerns about access to international reinsurance capacity for agricultural risks.
Operational Challenges
- Private insurers lack rural branch networks, increasing transaction costs.
- Poor agricultural extension services, except for rice and aquaculture.
- Supply chain issues hinder the development of insurance for fruit and vegetables and livestock.
Key Insurance Options for Guyana
| Type of Agricultural Insurance Product | Basis of Insurance and Indemnity | Suitability for Guyana in Start-up Phase? |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Named-peril (e.g. fire, excess rain) | Percentage damaged | Not suitable in the short term |
| 2. Multiple-peril Crop Insurance (MPCI) | Loss of yield | Not suitable |
| 3. Crop Revenue Insurance | Loss of yield/sale price | Not suitable |
| 4. Area-yield Index | Area-yield loss | Possibly for the rice sector |
| 5. Crop Weather Index Insurance | Weather index payout scale | Not suitable |
| 6. NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetative Index) Insurance | NDVI index payout scale | Not suitable |
| 7. Livestock Mortality Index Insurance | Livestock mortality index | Not suitable |
| 8. Mortality Cover for individual animals | Animal accident and mortality | Not suitable in the short term |
| 9. Livestock All-risk Mortality Cover | All-risk mortality/loss of use | Not suitable |
| 10. Livestock Business Interruption Cover | Epidemic diseases in livestock | Not suitable |
| 11. Bloodstock Cover for high-value animals | All-risk mortality/loss of use | Not suitable |
| 12. Named-peril Cover for Aquaculture | Loss of fish-stock | Possibly for fish and shrimps |
| 13. All-risk Cover for Aquaculture | Loss of fish-stock | Not suitable |
Key Findings and Recommendations
- Rice Insurance: Area-yield index insurance is technically feasible but faces basis risk due to high yield variability. It is recommended for financial institutions to underwrite this as a meso-level product to protect loan portfolios, thereby encouraging formal lending. A macro-level product could also be considered to protect a governmental contingency fund.
- Fruit and Vegetables Insurance: Limited data availability and weak supply chains make it difficult to develop insurance products for these sectors.
- Livestock Insurance: Traditional indemnity-based insurance is not suitable in the short term due to lack of data and awareness. A community-run model similar to India's could be explored.
- Aquaculture Insurance: Named-peril cover is possible for fish and shrimps, but all-risk cover is not feasible.
- Weather Index Insurance: Not suitable in the short term due to insufficient meteorological data and high basis risk.
- Need for PPP: A strong PPP involving government, private insurers, banks, and rural service organizations is essential for the development of agricultural insurance in Guyana.
- Policy and Regulatory Support: The GoG should consider amending the insurance regulatory framework to authorize agricultural insurance and support the introduction of index-based products.
- Training and Awareness: Farmers need training and awareness campaigns to understand the benefits and mechanisms of agricultural insurance.
Next Steps
- Conduct a formal farm-level survey to assess demand and affordability of insurance.
- Develop a comprehensive insurance regulatory framework.
- Enhance data collection and meteorological monitoring systems.
- Promote PPPs and explore the potential of index-based insurance products.
- Strengthen agricultural extension services and rural finance networks.
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