2016年-世界发展银行全球_Climate-Resilient_and_Low-Carbon_Transport_in_Sub-Saharan_Africa___A_Contribution_to_the_Africa_Climate_Business_Plan_42页_5mb
报告摘要
Summary of the Africa Climate Business Plan: Climate-Resilient and Low-Carbon Transport
Core Content
The Africa Climate Business Plan (ACBP) includes a dedicated Transport Chapter that focuses on climate-resilient and low-carbon transport systems in Sub-Saharan Africa. This chapter aims to integrate climate considerations into transport planning and investment to support both climate mitigation and adaptation efforts, aligning with the World Bank Group (WBG) corporate priorities.
The plan emphasizes the need for resilient transport infrastructure and carbon-efficient transport systems, which are essential for addressing the growing challenges posed by climate change. It also highlights the importance of aligning World Bank investments with Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDCs) of African countries, as part of a broader strategy to mainstream climate action in transport projects.
Main Objectives
- Improve the resilience of African transport infrastructure to climate change.
- Enhance the carbon efficiency of transport systems in Sub-Saharan Africa.
Key Points
- Transport is vital for economic and social development in Africa, especially for rural populations and urban economies.
- Climate change impacts include extreme weather events, sea level rise, and shifts in precipitation patterns, all of which threaten transport systems.
- Adaptation costs are significant, with global estimates suggesting that adaptation to a 2°C warmer world could cost between $70 billion to $100 billion per year by 2050, with urban infrastructure accounting for the largest share.
- Climate resilience is not cost-neutral, and poor planning can lead to over-dimensioned infrastructure or under-dimensioned standards.
- Vulnerability assessments are crucial to guide investment decisions and ensure that transport systems are prepared for future climate risks.
Main Viewpoints
- Transport systems in Sub-Saharan Africa are highly vulnerable to climate impacts due to their location and current infrastructure design.
- Climate change mitigation in the transport sector is necessary to reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions and align with global climate goals.
- African countries have made climate commitments through their INDCs, many of which include transport-specific emission reduction targets.
- The World Bank is working to align its transport programs with these commitments, supporting low-carbon technologies, public transport initiatives, and fuel efficiency improvements.
- Adaptation measures are also being prioritized, including vulnerability assessments, resilient infrastructure planning, and early warning systems.
Key Information
Climate Impacts on Transport
- Sea level rise, flooding, and storm surges threaten coastal infrastructure such as ports, roads, and rail lines.
- Extreme weather events increase the risk of infrastructure failure and transport disruptions.
- Changes in precipitation patterns and temperature increases affect the availability and functionality of transport systems.
Investment and Technical Assistance
- The Transport Chapter includes up to $3.2 billion in investments and technical assistance from 2016 to 2020, with $2.8 billion from the World Bank.
- These investments aim to support climate resilience and low-carbon transport by addressing both direct and indirect emission reduction targets.
Emission Reduction Targets in INDCs
- Direct targets include reductions in transport-related CO₂ emissions and fuel consumption.
- Indirect targets focus on increasing public transport usage, promoting renewable energy, and improving vehicle efficiency.
Examples of Transport Projects with Climate Considerations
| Country | Priority Transport Projects | Investment Requirements |
|---|---|---|
| Benin | Development of intra- and inter-urban transit | $2.78 billion (2011–2030) |
| Burkina Faso | Improvement of public transport; use of biofuel | $98 million |
| Eritrea | Improve rail and bus transport | $1 billion |
| Lesotho | Improvement of vehicle efficiency, modal shift to public transport | $1.5 million (2020), $2.0 million (2030) |
| South Africa | Electric vehicles | $1.513 billion (2010–2050) |
| South Africa | Hybrid electric vehicles (20% by 2030) | $2.488 billion |
| Togo | Promotion of low carbon transport modes | $40 million |
Adaptation Measures
- Liberia has committed to improving road design standards and implementing drainage systems to cope with flooding.
- Ghana has adopted city-wide resilient infrastructure planning, including building standards for strategic transport infrastructure.
- Mozambique has included measures such as developing climate resilience mechanisms, improving knowledge and capacity, and promoting clean technologies.
- Equatorial Guinea is integrating climate change into policy and planning at national, regional, and local levels.
Conclusion
The Transport Chapter of the Africa Climate Business Plan represents a strategic effort to mainstream climate action in transport development across Sub-Saharan Africa. It highlights the importance of resilience and carbon efficiency in transport systems and aims to align World Bank investments with the climate commitments of African countries. By supporting both mitigation and adaptation, the chapter contributes to a more sustainable and inclusive transport sector in the region.
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