2016年-世界发展银行全球_North-East_Nigeria_Recovery_and_Peace_Building_Assessment___Component_Report_164页_3mb

North-East Nigeria Recovery and Peace Building Assessment (Volume II) Component Report Summary

Core Content Overview

This document outlines the Recovery and Peace Building Assessment (RPBA) for North-East Nigeria, a collaborative effort involving the Federal Government of Nigeria, State Governments (Adamawa, Bauchi, Borno, Gombe, Taraba, Yobe), the European Union (EU), the United Nations (UN), and the World Bank (WB). The assessment is divided into three key components: Peace Building, Stability and Social Cohesion, Infrastructure and Social Services, and Economic Recovery. It provides a comprehensive analysis of the impact of the Boko Haram conflict, recovery strategies, and costing of interventions across these sectors.

Main Components and Objectives

1. Peace Building, Stability and Social Cohesion

• Objective: To support recovery and peace building through strategies that promote safe and voluntary return and resettlement, reconciliation and community cohesion, local governance, and community security and justice.
• Scope:
  • Focuses on displaced populations, reconciliation efforts, governance, and community security.
  • Includes cross-cutting issues such as gender, human rights, youth, and explosive remnants of war (ERW).
• Methodology:
  • Used remote sensing, social media analytics, and partner networks to fill data gaps.
  • Conducted field visits, consultations, and validation workshops.
• Key Assumptions and Limitations:
  • The assessment is based on 2010 as a pre-crisis baseline.
  • It does not include impacts from other causes of displacement.

2. Infrastructure and Social Services

• Objective: To assess the damage and needs across 12 sectors including agriculture, education, energy, health, housing, transport, and water & sanitation.
• Scope:
  • Covers physical infrastructure and social services.
  • Includes sectors such as public buildings, ICT, and social protection.
• Methodology:
  • Utilized existing data, remote sensing, and field data collection.
  • Focused on pre-crisis conditions, impact analysis, and recovery strategies.
• Key Assumptions and Limitations:
  • Data collection was limited due to insecurity and access issues.
  • Needs analysis was conducted with input from stakeholders and local communities.

3. Economic Recovery

• Objective: To evaluate the economic impact of the conflict and outline recovery strategies for macroeconomic management, private sector development, and livelihoods and employment.
• Scope:
  • Includes economic sectors such as agriculture, education, energy, health, and transport.
  • Focuses on poverty, employment, and economic activity.
• Methodology:
  • Analyzed pre-crisis economic conditions and post-conflict impacts.
  • Used economic models and sector-specific data to estimate costs and recovery needs.
• Key Assumptions and Limitations:
  • Economic data was based on 2010-2015.
  • Fiscal and trade impacts were considered alongside livelihoods and employment.

Key Findings and Impacts

• The Boko Haram conflict has caused over 20,000 deaths, significant infrastructure damage, and disrupted social services.
• 1.8 million people were internally displaced within the conflict-affected states, and 170,000 fled across borders into Niger, Chad, and Cameroon.
• The economic impact includes:
  • Disruption of trade and mobility.
  • Loss of livelihoods and increased poverty.
  • Damage to key sectors such as agriculture, education, and energy.
• The social impact includes:
  • Erosion of social cohesion.
  • Increased vulnerability and mistrust among communities.
  • High levels of insecurity and forced displacement.

Cross-Cutting Issues

• Gender: Women and girls are disproportionately affected by displacement and conflict.
• Human Rights: The conflict has violated basic human rights, necessitating reconciliation and justice mechanisms.
• Youth: Young people are at high risk of marginalization and recruitment by extremist groups.
• Explosive Remnants of War (ERW): A significant threat to community safety and development.

Recovery Strategies and Implementation

• Peace Building, Stability and Social Cohesion:
  • Promotes safe return, reconciliation, and community engagement.
  • Emphasizes local governance and security mechanisms.
• Infrastructure and Social Services:
  • Focuses on rebuilding infrastructure, restoring services, and improving access.
  • Includes reconstruction priorities and costing for each sector.
• Economic Recovery:
  • Includes Track A (livelihoods and employment), Track B (private sector and finance), and Track C (capacity building and skills development).
  • Prioritizes rebuilding economic activity and addressing poverty.

Costing and Funding

• A detailed costing was conducted for each component, broken down by state and subcomponent.
• The total estimated costs for recovery and peace building are significant, reflecting the scale of damage and complexity of needs.
• The RPBA serves as a framework for coordinated recovery and peace building efforts, with institutional arrangements and stakeholder engagement being central to its implementation.

Conclusion

The RPBA is a comprehensive, multi-sectoral, and cross-cutting assessment aimed at recovery and peace building in the North-East region of Nigeria. It emphasizes the interconnectedness of social, physical, and economic recovery strategies, and highlights the need for coordinated action among government, civil society, and international partners. The assessment is ongoing, and the strategies and frameworks outlined are designed to adapt to changing security and displacement scenarios.