20180614-凯基证券亚洲-Investment_Daily_5页_212kb
报告摘要
Market Summary
Core Market Indicators
Hang Seng Index (HSI)
- Market Turnover (mn): HK$84,400 on 13 Jun, down from HK$87,700 on 12 Jun and HK$77,400 on 11 Jun.
- HSI Value: Closed at 30,725 on 13 Jun, down 377 points from 31,103 on 12 Jun and up 105 points from 31,063 on 11 Jun.
- HSI Turnover ($bn): $30.67 on 13 Jun, up from $28.96 on 12 Jun and $27.93 on 11 Jun.
- HSCEI Value: Closed at 12,035 on 13 Jun, down 170 points from 12,206 on 12 Jun and up 6 points from 12,172 on 11 Jun.
- HSCEI Turnover ($bn): $24.94 on 13 Jun, up from $23.14 on 12 Jun and $22.99 on 11 Jun.
Technical Indicators for HSI
- 10-day MA: 30,967
- 50-day MA: 30,622
- 250-day MA: 29,200
- 14-day RSI: 48.3
- Primary Resistance: 31,593
- Primary Support: 30,622
Technical Indicators for HSCEI
- 10-day MA: 12,178
- 50-day MA: 12,148
- 250-day MA: 11,696
- 14-day RSI: 45.4
- Primary Resistance: 12,261
- Primary Support: 11,941
Market Outlook
- The Hang Seng Index is expected to trade within the range of 30,500-30,900.
- The market is in consolidation due to reduced turnover and concerns over US rate hikes.
- Chinese banking sector faced pressure due to lower-than-expected new yuan loans in May.
- ZTE resumed trading after reaching an agreement with the US government, but dropped 41.6%.
- US stock market fell slightly after the Fed's rate hike, with the Dow and Nasdaq declining.
IPO Brief: Shineroad International (1587)
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Industry Sector: Food
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Issue Price (HK$): 0.75
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Total Share Offer Size (HK$ mn): 128
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Historical P/E (x): 15.2
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Sponsor: Cinda International
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Dealing Period: 27-June
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Shineroad is a distributor of food ingredients and additives with over 21 years of experience.
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It supplies over 1,000 products to more than 2,000 customers in China.
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Food ingredients and additives account for 60% and 40% of total turnover, respectively.
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The company has strong supplier relationships, with top 5 suppliers accounting for 80% of purchases.
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The IPO is not considered highly attractive due to the relatively low P/E ratio and less promising industry outlook.
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Analyst recommendation: Neutral.
Profit Warning Alert: China Gas Holding (0384)
- Net Profit Growth: Expected to increase by over 45% YoY for the year ended 31 March 2018.
- Reasons for Growth: Strong performance in natural gas sales, user connections, and value-added services.
- Projects: The company operates in 25 provinces, including 342 city gas projects, 14 long-distance pipelines, and 580 CNG/LNG stations.
- Strategic Partnerships: With provinces such as Tianjin, Hebei, Shandong, and others.
- Government Policies: Supports natural gas usage with a target of 10% share in primary energy mix by 2020.
- Stock Valuation: Currently trading at a P/B of 8.2X and projected P/E of 27.3X for 2018.
- Dividend Yield: 1.1%
- Analyst Recommendation: Investors should consider accumulating when the price consolidates.
Stock Connect Statistics
SH-HK Connect
- Balance (RMB bn): 51.22
- Balance as % of Quota Amount: 98.5%
SZ-HK Connect
- Balance (RMB bn): 51.26
- Balance as % of Quota Amount: 98.6%
Combined Southbound
- Balance (RMB bn): 83.77
- Balance as % of Quota Amount: 99.7%
Top 10 Most Actively Traded Stocks (SH-HK Connect Southbound)
- SMIC (981): Buy Trades 248,097,740 RMB, Sell Trades 95,785,450 RMB, Turnover 343,883,190 RMB
- TENCENT (700): Buy Trades 123,154,660 RMB, Sell Trades 45,419,360 RMB, Turnover 168,574,020 RMB
- CCB (939): Buy Trades 55,734,680 RMB, Sell Trades 379,562,106 RMB, Turnover 435,296,786 RMB
- CSPC PHARMA (1093): Buy Trades 241,759,300 RMB, Sell Trades 48,701,900 RMB, Turnover 290,461,200 RMB
- SUNAC (1918): Buy Trades 95,641,500 RMB, Sell Trades 184,350,570 RMB, Turnover 279,992,070 RMB
- ICBC (1398): Buy Trades 67,576,360 RMB, Sell Trades 134,381,750 RMB, Turnover 201,958,110 RMB
- CHINA RES BEER (291): Buy Trades 183,799,200 RMB, Sell Trades 17,819,200 RMB, Turnover 201,618,400 RMB
- SUNART RETAIL (6808): Buy Trades 167,139,810 RMB, Sell Trades 17,827,370 RMB, Turnover 184,967,180 RMB
- CONCH VENTURE (586): Buy Trades 118,324,675 RMB, Sell Trades 60,769,600 RMB, Turnover 179,094,275 RMB
- EVERGRANDE (3333): Buy Trades 141,445,400 RMB, Sell Trades 19,020,650 RMB, Turnover 160,466,050 RMB
Top 10 Most Actively Traded Stocks (Overall)
- TENCENT (700): -0.53%, Closed Price 415.20, Turnover 5,091.5M
- ZTE (763): -41.56%, Closed Price 14.96, Turnover 3,575.6M
- CCB (939): -1.24%, Closed Price 7.96, Turnover 2,431.0M
- PING AN (2318): -0.57%, Closed Price 78.55, Turnover 2,397.8M
- SMIC (981): +4.64%, Closed Price 11.28, Turnover 2,391.0M
- ICBC (1398): -1.68%, Closed Price 6.44, Turnover 2,182.1M
- BANK OF CHINA (3988): -1.43%, Closed Price 4.13, Turnover 1,190.5M
- HKEX (388): -1.15%, Closed Price 257.60, Turnover 1,118.1M
- AAC TECH (2018): -4.10%, Closed Price 121.60, Turnover 1,089.5M
- AIA (1299): -0.91%, Closed Price 71.15, Turnover 1,066.8M
Ten Short Sell Stocks
- TENCENT (00700.HK): Short Sell 292.78M, Turnover 5.09B, Short Sell Ratio 5.75%
- CCB (00939.HK): Short Sell 247.08M, Turnover 2.43B, Short Sell Ratio 10.16%
- PING AN (02318.HK): Short Sell 213.24M, Turnover 2.40B, Short Sell Ratio 8.89%
- HSCEI ETF (02828.HK): Short Sell 143.09M, Turnover 1.01B, Short Sell Ratio 14.18%
- ICBC (01398.HK): Short Sell 81.00M, Turnover 2.18B, Short Sell Ratio 3.71%
- AIA (01299.HK): Short Sell 74.09M, Turnover 1.07B, Short Sell Ratio 6.95%
- SMIC (00981.HK): Short Sell 65.75M, Turnover 2.39B, Short Sell Ratio 2.75%
- BANK OF CHINA (03988.HK): Short Sell 64.49M, Turnover 1.19B, Short Sell Ratio 5.42%
- ABC (01288.HK): Short Sell 61.13M, Turnover 597.65M, Short Sell Ratio 10.23%
- AAC TECH (02018.HK): Short Sell 58.95M, Turnover 1.09B, Short Sell Ratio 5.41%
Economic Calendars
- Sun, 10-15 Jun: China will announce May Aggregate Financing and May New Yuan Loans.
- Mon: Hong Kong – Yixin (2858) Q1 Result
- Tue, 13 Jun: US – May CPI YoY (Expected 2.7%, Prior 2.5%); Singapore – US-North Korea Summit
- Wed, 13 Jun: US – May PPI YoY (Expected 2.6%, Prior 2.6%); Euro Zone – Apr Industrial Production SA MoM (Prior 0.5%); Hong Kong – Yixin (2858) Q1 Result
- Thu, 13 Jun: US – FOMC Rate Decision (Expected 1.75%-2.00%, Prior 1.50%-1.75%); US – Jun Initial Jobless Claim (Till Jun 9); US – May Continuing Jobless Claim (Till Jun 2); Euro Zone – ECB Rate Decision; China – May Retail Sales YoY (Expected 9.6%, Prior 9.4%); China – May Industrial Production YoY (Expected 7.0%, Prior 7.0%); China – First Five Months Fixed Asset Investment YoY (Expected 7.0%, Prior 7.0%)
- Fri, 13 Jun: Euro Zone – Apr Trade Balance SA (Prior 21.2B); Japan – BOJ Rate Decision; Hong Kong – Vitasoy (345) Annual Result
Disclaimer
- KGI Asia Ltd. provides equity research and earnings estimates on KGIEWORLD.COM.
- The information and opinions in this report are the result of internal research and are not guaranteed for accuracy or completeness.
- No liability is accepted for any loss arising from the use of this report.
- This report is for informational purposes only and may not be reproduced or published without prior written consent.
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