2021-11-25-兰德-实现全球机动性_未来力量设计2040_79页_1mb

Global Mobility Analysis Summary

The integrated review of UK security, defence, development and foreign policy (2021) outlines a strategic vision for a 'Global Britain', requiring increased military presence worldwide. This necessitates evolving global mobility strategies across defence tasks.

Requirements (Chapter 2):
Mobility demands are expected to rise in capacity, capability, survivability, assurance and speed within affordability constraints. Key factors driving requirements include:

• Threat Environment: Contestation in A2AD, cyber, electromagnetic (EM), urban and climate-degraded environments.
• Space/Info Domains: Opportunities for enhanced situational awareness and integrated mobility via data sharing.
• Global Trends: Urbanisation, climate change, tech advancements (automation, autonomy), shifting alliances.
• Resource Constraints: Post-2020 equipment gaps (e.g., C-17, C-130, Merlin lifecycle) requiring more efficient use of limited assets.

Options for Delivery (Chapter 3):
Six broad mobility options were identified:

1. Multi-role platforms (flexible but complex/costly)
2. International collaboration (e.g., pooling/sharing via MCCE, ATARES, MMF) (trade-off control vs. efficiency)
3. Commercial solutions (potential for efficiency/permissive envs but different risk profile)
4. Uncrewed/optionally crewed/lightweight assets (automation) (lower risk but cyber/contested challenges)
5. Data-driven mobility (optimisation potential) (high tech dependence risk)
6. Additive manufacturing (local production, reduced transits) (opportunities vs. verification needs)

Force Design & Recommendations (Chapter 4/5):
Meeting future demands requires navigating trade-offs between organic (DEF-owned), collaborative and access (commercial/multinational) options. Key recommendations include:

1. Focus on Resilience over Efficiency: Treat mobility as insurance, invest strategically for worst-case scenarios.
2. Adopt MDI Approach: Fully integrate mobility into multi-domain operations, enhancing horizontal/vertical synergies.
3. Leverage Multi-modal Transport: Utilise DSCOM for best mode selection.
4. Strengthen Multi-national Pools/Commercial Partnerships: Improve use of initiatives like MCCE and explore/adapt commercial models (Air Tanker, CRAF principles).
5. Protect Global Mobility Assets: Anticipate growing threats (kinetic, cyber).
6. Map Vulnerabilities: Conduct holistic risk assessment across integrated systems.
7. Embrace Sustainability: Align fleet development with national net-zero goals.

The mandatory approach emphasizes collaborative arrangements and innovative efficiency models (e.g., availability contracts, leasing) to manage constraints effectively.