20240202-招银国际-Apple_FY1Q24_beat_on_better_margins_and_resilient_service_revenue,_but_China_sales_weakened_5页_480kb
报告摘要
Report Summary: CMB Analysis of Apple FY1Q24 Earnings
Key Financial Results
- Apple reported FY1Q24 revenue of $119.6 billion, a +2% year-over-year increase, beating consensus estimates.
- Earnings per share (EPS) was $2.18, a +16% YoY gain and 4% above consensus, driven by better margins and strong service revenue.
- Gross profit margin stood at 45.9%, exceeding analyst expectations of 43.3%.
- Product segment performance: iPhone sales grew 6% YoY, Services revenue increased 11% YoY, but iPad and Wearables saw declines of 25% and 11% YoY, respectively. China regional sales weakened by 12.9% YoY.
Management Outlook
- For FY2Q24, management expects revenue to decline by approximately $5 billion (-5% YoY) due to a high base and supply constraints, with iPhone sales projected to drop $5 billion (-9.7% YoY).
- Services and Vision Pro are expected to show strong growth; Vision Pro is available at US stores and will expand globally in FY24.
- However, outlook is cautious due to macro challenges, Huawei's market share gains in China, and potential shipment issues.
Investment Recommendations
- BUY: Recommended for Luxshare, BYDE, and FIT Hon Teng, as they gain market share and benefit from Apple's spec upgrades in components like high-end iPhones, casings, and AirPods.
- HOLD: Advised for Sunny Optical and AAC Tech, primarily due to their fair valuations.
Key Risks
- Weaker iPhone sales amid intense competition from brands like Huawei, exacerbated by one less week of sales in CY4Q23 and foldable phone shortages in 2024.
- Geopolitical challenges in China, including shifted shipments from 2023, could persist.
Related Reports and Analyst Certification
- Referenced related analyses on stocks like Sunny Optical and BYDE.
- Analyst certification confirms personal views and no compensation ties to recommendations.
- Disclosures highlight conflicts of interest and liability limitations.
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