世界银行-肯尼亚国家气候与发展报告（英）-2023.11-18页_881kb

Climate action is critical for Kenya to achieve its goal of becoming an upper-middle-income country, as its economy is vulnerable to climate change impacts due to its reliance on sectors like agriculture. Under a business-as-usual scenario, climate change could reduce real GDP by up to 7.25% by 2050, while an ambitious growth strategy could lower this impact.

Key recommendations include:

• Implementing five core action areas: climate policy integration, managing water/land/forest for resilient agriculture, people-centered resilience through urbanization, enhancing competitiveness via energy/transport/digital shifts, and climate finance mobilization.
• Investing in climate resilience-oriented sectors like agriculture, water resources, basic services (health, education, WASH), and urban infrastructure.
• Aligning development with updated NDC targets to leverage opportunities in global markets and attract private investment.
• Decarbonizing the power sector by 2030, promoting e-mobility, and adopting green logistics to reduce trade deficits and environmental impacts.
• Mobilizing climate finance through blended finance, carbon markets, and risk transfer instruments to address financing gaps, especially in adaptation.

The report emphasizes prioritizing investments in vulnerable regions and ensuring regional equity to build climate resilience and inclusive growth.