2026塑造未来的城市研究报告_驱动下一轮商业增长的全球城市排名_52页_4mb

The Cities Shaping the Future: Summary

Core Content Overview

This document outlines the evolving landscape of global cities that are driving future business growth. It highlights the key themes influencing city performance and provides insights into how businesses and governments can position themselves strategically in this dynamic environment.

Main Themes Driving City Performance

1. Leading cities are commercial, connectivity, and investment hubs
   Traditional global leaders such as Tokyo, New York, London, and Paris remain critical for finance, regulation, and talent. However, emerging cities like Shanghai, Seoul, and Dubai are challenging their dominance due to technological advancements, geopolitical shifts, and new economic opportunities.

2. Emerging markets are jockeying for a place in global supply chains
   Tariffs and industrial sovereignty are reshaping global manufacturing, leading to diversification and reshoring. Cities in emerging markets such as Ho Chi Minh City, Guadalajara, and Tangier are gaining traction by offering cost-effective solutions, nearshoring opportunities, and diversification.

3. Affordability and business shifts help midsize cities generate outsize growth
   Midsize cities in both emerging and developed markets are experiencing rapid growth due to new industries, affordable housing, and better quality of life. These cities are becoming key drivers of future economic and investment opportunities.

4. Innovation and tech hubs shape the knowledge economy
   Cities that foster technological innovation, support STEM education, and offer favorable policies are attracting global talent and becoming important innovation centers. The global talent war is intensifying, with cities competing to provide the best conditions for skilled workers.

5. Climate resilience is key to attract business and talent
   Climate risks are increasing, and cities that invest in resilience — such as Paris and Singapore — will be better positioned to attract business and talent. Conversely, cities that fail to address climate challenges may face rising insurance costs, resource shortages, and population displacement.

Key Insights

• Globalization is evolving, with cities playing a central role in shaping the next era of business growth.
• Over 1,500 cities, representing more than 75% of global GDP, are being evaluated based on five key factors: commercial vibrancy, connectivity, supply chains, innovation, and climate resilience.
• Businesses must rethink their geographic strategies to adapt to a more fragmented and fast-moving global economy.
• City leaders have a unique opportunity to attract investment, create jobs, and build resilient, innovative urban environments.

What's at Stake

• 54% of European CEOs are pursuing M&A for geographic expansion (vs. 40% of North American CEOs)
• 45% of large-firm CEOs are planning to reconfigure supply chains
• 50% of CEOs see talent as their top opportunity

Strategic Recommendations for Businesses

1. Anticipate future geographic opportunities
   Identify cities likely to become technology talent hubs and areas where new manufacturing and logistics hubs are emerging.

2. Strengthen supply chain resilience
   Diversify production across multiple cities to reduce risks from tariffs, climate change, and geopolitical tensions.

3. Explore acquisition opportunities
   Focus on both major and midsize cities, as the latter are becoming new value creators.

4. Consider operational concentration vs. affordability
   Evaluate the trade-offs between operating in major business hubs and midsize cities with lower costs.

5. Invest in cities with strong technology talent and outsourcing potential
   Prioritize locations that offer skilled talent and can help fill critical workforce gaps.

Strategic Recommendations for Governments

1. Design competitive visa policies
   Ensure a sufficient supply of "in-demand" talent, particularly in technology and AI fields.

2. Attract international institutions and associations
   These can bring global talent, connectivity, and visibility to the city.

3. Target anchor multinationals
   Encourage these firms to open offices, invest in R&D, and establish local partnerships.

4. Develop long-term climate action plans
   Reassure investors of the city's resilience and reduce business costs associated with climate risks.

5. Nurture startup ecosystems
   These ecosystems can attract technology talent, venture capital, and multinational companies seeking innovation.

Top 20 Cities Supporting Next-Decade Growth

1. Tokyo, Japan
2. New York, United States
3. Seoul, Korea
4. London, United Kingdom
5. Shanghai, China
6. Los Angeles, United States
7. Paris, France
8. Beijing, China
9. Singapore, Singapore
10. Hong Kong, China
11. Chicago, United States
12. Dubai, United Arab Emirates
13. Dallas, United States
14. Houston, United States
15. Washington, United States
16. Toronto, Canada
17. Atlanta, United States
18. San Francisco, United States
19. Mumbai, India
20. Madrid, Spain

Most Connected Cities Worldwide

• Istanbul, Turkey: 328 cities
• Frankfurt, Germany: 292 cities
• Paris, France: 290 cities
• Dubai, United Arab Emirates: 288 cities
• Amsterdam, Netherlands: 276 cities
• Dallas, United States: 270 cities
• Chicago, United States: 270 cities
• Shanghai, China: 260 cities
• Rome, Italy: 250 cities
• Atlanta, United States: 250 cities

China's Role in the Future of Cities

• Chinese cities are advancing into AI-enabled manufacturing and becoming key players in the global supply chain.
• Cities like Hefei (electric vehicles), Shenzhen (drones), and Ningde (lithium batteries) are leading the way in advanced manufacturing.
• Chinese government policies and industrial strategies are driving the development of new tech and manufacturing clusters, which may influence global business strategies.

Midsize Cities: The New Growth Powerhouses

• Midsize cities are becoming increasingly attractive due to affordability, quality of life, and emerging industries.
• These cities are expected to add $7 trillion to global consumption over the next five years.
• They offer strong connectivity, large workforces, and university support for BPO and other industries.

Conclusion

The global city landscape is evolving rapidly, driven by technological change, geopolitical dynamics, and economic shifts. While traditional leaders remain influential, new cities are emerging as key players in business growth and innovation. Companies and governments must adapt their strategies to capture these opportunities, focusing on resilience, connectivity, and innovation to stay competitive in the future.