兰德-陆军对当地的经济影响(英文)-2021.3-569页_26mb
报告摘要
The Army's Local Economic Effects: Alabama Summary
Core Content
This report provides an empirical analysis of the economic effects of Army spending on local communities and states in Alabama, focusing on the impact from 2014 to 2017. The study is conducted by the RAND Arroyo Center as part of the "Update on the Army's Local Economic Effects" project, commissioned by the U.S. Army's Office of the Deputy Chief of Staff, G-8.
The report uses input-output models to estimate the economic impact of Army spending, including direct and indirect effects. It distinguishes between different categories of Army spending and employment, and provides detailed data at the state and congressional district levels.
Key Terms and Definitions
- All Army Direct Spending: Includes all spending by the Army in a region, such as acquisition and services contracts, and payments to soldiers, government civilians, retirees, and survivors.
- Additional Economic Output: The estimated amount of economic activity supported by Army-generated demand, excluding subcontracting for zero economic activity sectors.
- Army-Driven Economic Output: Total economic output generated by the Army, including direct and additional economic effects.
- All Army Direct Employment: The total number of individuals employed by the Army in a region, including Regular Army, U.S. Army Reserve (USAR), Army National Guard (ARNG), and civilians.
- Additional Employment: The non-Army employment associated with additional economic output, calculated using IMPLAN data.
- All Army Personnel + Additional: The total employment supported by Army direct spending, including both Army personnel and additional employment.
Main Findings
Economic Impact Overview
The report outlines the economic effects of Army spending in Alabama for the fiscal years 2014 through 2017. The following are the key findings:
| Fiscal Year | Total Army Direct Spending | Total Additional Economic Output | Total Army-Driven Economic Output | Total Army Direct Employment | Total Additional Employment | Total Army Personnel + Additional |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $6,978,211,858 | $16,077,400,238 | $23,055,612,096 | 55,703 | 157,111 | 212,814 |
| 2015 | $9,386,278,967 | $22,533,945,159 | $31,920,224,126 | 54,419 | 180,468 | 234,887 |
| 2016 | $6,538,588,215 | $17,034,696,123 | $23,573,284,338 | 53,560 | 141,950 | 195,510 |
| 2017 | $5,388,431,279 | $15,201,420,781 | $20,589,852,060 | 51,128 | 129,888 | 181,016 |
Army Direct Spending by Component
-
Regular Army:
- FY 2014: $5,175,890,135
- FY 2015: $7,641,177,182
- FY 2016: $4,818,422,766
- FY 2017: $4,823,228,725
-
ARNG:
- FY 2014: $219,949,024
- FY 2015: $206,607,038
- FY 2016: $194,489,119
- FY 2017: $201,500,865
-
USAR:
- FY 2014: $79,598,750
- FY 2015: $81,664,398
- FY 2016: $76,906,069
- FY 2017: $74,048,534
-
Civilians, Retirees, and Survivors:
- FY 2014: $1,502,773,949
- FY 2015: $1,456,830,349
- FY 2016: $1,448,770,261
- FY 2017: $289,653,155
Army-Driven Economic Output by Congressional District
| District | FY 2014 | FY 2015 | FY 2016 | FY 2017 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $466,081,087 | $597,395,463 | $596,641,387 | $385,980,086 |
| 2 | $5,644,167,869 | $5,948,478,167 | $5,451,172,719 | $4,605,079,620 |
| 3 | $2,109,323,173 | $1,941,968,076 | $1,358,346,298 | $929,463,262 |
| 4 | $457,342,958 | $381,676,319 | $518,371,818 | $156,117,462 |
| 5 | $13,684,265,374 | $22,417,814,588 | $15,115,005,638 | $14,025,541,918 |
| 6 | $329,491,330 | $269,948,503 | $170,585,222 | $170,585,222 |
| 7 | $364,940,307 | $362,943,011 | $317,084,489 | $317,084,489 |
Army Direct Employment by Component
-
Regular Army:
- FY 2014: 14,445
- FY 2015: 13,891
- FY 2016: 13,117
- FY 2017: 12,262
-
ARNG:
- FY 2014: 13,548
- FY 2015: 13,014
- FY 2016: 13,035
- FY 2017: 12,280
-
USAR:
- FY 2014: 6,173
- FY 2015: 6,112
- FY 2016: 5,483
- FY 2017: 5,483
-
Civilians, Retirees, and Survivors:
- FY 2014: 21,537
- FY 2015: 21,402
- FY 2016: 21,284
- FY 2017: 21,103
Additional Employment
- FY 2014: 157,108
- FY 2015: 180,468
- FY 2016: 141,950
- FY 2017: 129,888
Total Army Personnel + Additional
- FY 2014: 212,814
- FY 2015: 234,887
- FY 2016: 195,510
- FY 2017: 181,016
Notes
- All spending and output results are presented in 2016 dollars.
- Data may not sum exactly due to rounding.
- The counts of personnel include those who have claimed multiple residences within a state, leading to potential overestimation.
- The report also includes data on Army retirees and survivors, which are not counted in Army Direct Employment. For FY 2014, the estimate is 38,009; for FY 2015, it is 40,821.
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