2025-05-28-Jefferies-今日_食品配料——健康增长还是从高糖状态回落_6页_1mb
报告摘要
Chemicals Equity Research Summary
Event
Title: Food Ingredients Conference Call
Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025 (3:00 PM BST / 4:00 PM CEST / 10:00 AM EDT)
Host: Paul Graham, President/CEO of DöhlerGroup Americas Division
*Topics: Discussing operating momentum, supply-chain challenges, pricing strategies amidst evolving tariffs and changing customer behavior.
Market Dynamics
*European food ingredient companies reported strong volume growth through Q1 2025.
*Order book conditions are positive for Q2 despite challenges in staples end-markets.
*Growth drivers include reformulation (health shift away from sugar) and private-label products versus listed branded customers.
*Investors are skeptical about the long-term sustainability of current stocking and demand levels.
*Regulatory changes in the US are increasingly likely to impact the industry.
Agenda Item
Impact of an* evolving tariff environment**.
*Discussion regarding changes in customer behaviour.
Relevant Stocks
- KYGA
- DSFIR
- NSISB
- GIVN
- IFF
- SY1
- SXT
Presentation Speaker
- Paul Graham: President & CEO Americas, DöhlerGroup; Member of Executive Board (2021-Present). Previously President, Flavors North America at Symrise (2014-2021) and also President of Flavor and Extract Manufacturers Association (FEMA).
Analyst Information
- Analysts involved with this research:
- Charlie Bentley
- Chris Counihan
- Marcus Dunford-Castro
- Helena Xu
- All analysts certify views reflect personal opinions and compensation is not linked to report recommendations.
Company Valuation & Ratings
Investment Recommendations Rating System:
- Buy: Expected total return (price appreciation + yield) >= 15% (or 20% for < $10 price)
- Hold: Expected total return between -10% and +15%
- Underperform: Expected total return <= -10% (or <= -20% for < $10 price)
- NR: Rating suspended.
- CS: Coverage Suspended.
- NC: Not Covered.
- Restricted: Certain communications prohibited.
- Monitor: Company fundamentals under monitoring, no investment opinion given.
Relevant Stock Ratings (as of May 28, 2025):
- DSM-Firmenich AG (DSFIR NA: €98.86, BUY)
- Givaudan SA (GIVN SW: CHF4,167.00, UNDERPERFORM)
- International Flavors & Fragrances Inc (IFF: $77.24, BUY)
- Kerry Group PLC (KYGA ID: €96.65, BUY)
- Novonesis (NSISB DC: DKK466.20, BUY)
- Symrise AG (SY1 GR: €105.60, HOLD)
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