兰德-The-Armys-Local-Economic-Effects_-Appendix-B,-Volume-I_-Alabama-Through-Minnesota_445页_12mb
报告摘要
The Army's Local Economic Effects: Alabama Summary
Core Content
This document provides an analysis of the economic effects of U.S. Army spending at the local and state level in Alabama, focusing on the impact across different congressional districts and over the fiscal years 2012 to 2014. The research was conducted by the RAND Arroyo Center and sponsored by the U.S. Army, with the goal of informing decision-making related to budget changes.
Key Terms and Definitions
- All Army Direct Spending: Includes all Army spending within a district, adjusted for outgoing and ingoing subcontracts. It encompasses military and government civilian payroll, retiree and survivor pay, and acquisition and services contracts.
- Additional Economic Output: The estimated economic activity supported by Army-generated demand, including indirect and induced effects of all Army direct spending within and outside the district.
- Army-Driven Economic Output: The sum of all Army direct spending assumed to stay in the district and the additional economic output.
- All Army Direct Employment: Total number of persons employed by the Army in a region, including Regular Army, Army National Guard (ARNG), U.S. Army Reserve (USAR), and civilians.
- Additional Employment: Non-Army employment associated with additional economic output.
- All Army Personnel + Additional Employment: Total employment supported by Army direct spending nationwide, including both Army personnel and additional employment.
Main Findings
- The economic effects of Army spending are calculated using input-output models and adjusted for subcontracting.
- The output multiplier is used to estimate the economic impact, but it may overestimate the local effects due to the inclusion of both in-region and out-of-region spending.
- The economic effects are presented in 2012 dollars and include the following categories:
- Army Direct Spending
- Additional Economic Output
- Army-Driven Economic Output
- Army Direct Employment
- Additional Employment
- Total Employment (Army Personnel + Additional Employment)
Economic Effects by Fiscal Year and Congressional District
FY 2012
| District | All Army Direct Spending | Additional Economic Output | Army-Driven Economic Output | All Army Direct Employment | Additional Employment | All Army Personnel + Additional Employment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $187,151,540 | $408,656,248 | $595,807,788 | 3,105 | 4,076 | 7,181 |
| 2 | $1,562,064,957 | $4,048,143,949 | $5,610,208,906 | 18,452 | 42,753 | 61,205 |
| 3 | $843,816,163 | $1,671,303,270 | $2,515,119,433 | 13,792 | 17,194 | 30,986 |
| 4 | $169,910,440 | $328,159,391 | $498,069,831 | 4,222 | 2,346 | 6,568 |
| 5 | $4,398,494,587 | $9,665,603,079 | $14,064,097,666 | 16,104 | 89,961 | 106,065 |
| 6 | $112,684,322 | $181,080,770 | $293,765,092 | 3,405 | 1,459 | 4,864 |
| 7 | $142,337,940 | $322,491,520 | $464,829,460 | 2,833 | 2,521 | 5,354 |
| Total | $7,416,459,949 | $16,625,438,227 | $24,041,898,176 | 61,913 | 160,310 | 222,223 |
FY 2013
| District | All Army Direct Spending | Additional Economic Output | Army-Driven Economic Output | All Army Direct Employment | Additional Employment | All Army Personnel + Additional Employment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $156,151,510 | $332,214,946 | $488,366,456 | 3,069 | 3,200 | 6,269 |
| 2 | $1,435,864,852 | $3,897,449,000 | $5,333,313,852 | 18,192 | 43,234 | 61,426 |
| 3 | $755,660,872 | $1,384,109,229 | $2,139,770,102 | 13,246 | 12,727 | 25,973 |
| 4 | $151,447,177 | $231,783,912 | $383,231,090 | 3,974 | 1,849 | 5,823 |
| 5 | $3,941,799,615 | $8,005,294,971 | $11,947,094,586 | 15,425 | 76,419 | 91,844 |
| 6 | $109,072,792 | $181,846,058 | $290,918,850 | 3,210 | 1,491 | 4,701 |
| 7 | $123,474,033 | $255,760,688 | $379,234,721 | 2,790 | 2,021 | 4,811 |
| Total | $6,673,470,851 | $14,288,458,804 | $20,961,929,657 | 59,906 | 140,941 | 200,847 |
FY 2014
| District | All Army Direct Spending | Additional Economic Output | Army-Driven Economic Output | All Army Direct Employment | Additional Employment | All Army Personnel + Additional Employment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $150,787,519 | $315,293,568 | $466,081,087 | 2,917 | 3,111 | 6,028 |
| 2 | $1,436,724,094 | $4,207,443,775 | $5,644,167,869 | 16,214 | 47,613 | 63,827 |
| 3 | $721,812,967 | $1,387,510,206 | $2,109,323,173 | 12,456 | 13,046 | 25,502 |
| 4 | $165,131,820 | $292,211,139 | $457,342,958 | 3,738 | 2,234 | 5,972 |
| 5 | $4,239,687,390 | $9,444,577,984 | $13,684,265,374 | 14,751 | 87,748 | 102,499 |
| 6 | $124,889,547 | $204,601,783 | $329,491,330 | 3,015 | 1,594 | 4,609 |
| 7 | $139,178,524 | $225,761,783 | $364,940,307 | 2,611 | 1,762 | 4,373 |
| Total | $6,978,211,858 | $16,077,400,238 | $23,055,612,096 | 55,703 | 157,111 | 212,814 |
Notes
- The data is presented in 2012 dollars.
- Rounding errors may occur within and across tables.
- Retirees and Survivors: 38,009 individuals received Army payments in Alabama.
- Personnel Counts: Individuals who have claimed multiple addresses in multiple districts are counted in each district, which may affect the accuracy of total personnel counts.
- Component Breakdown:
- Regular Army: Accounts for the majority of Army spending and employment.
- Army Reserve: Approximately 5% of Army spending in FY 2014.
- National Guard: Approximately 9% of Army spending in FY 2014.
- Civilian/Retiree/Survivor: Includes civilian personnel and payments to retirees and survivors.
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