深度-德国马歇尔基金会-2021年跨大西洋趋势（英文）-2021.6-58页_5mb

Transatlantic Trends 2021 Summary

Core Content

The Transatlantic Trends 2021 report provides an in-depth analysis of public opinion across 11 transatlantic countries regarding global challenges, international relations, and cooperation priorities. Conducted by Kantar Public in March and April 2021, the survey included 1,000 respondents in each country, aged 18 and above, and weighted for demographic accuracy.

Key Findings

1. Global Influence and Leadership

• The United States remains the most influential global power, but its standing has not fully recovered from the pandemic-related drop.
• China is seen as the second most influential global power, with Germany and France showing the highest levels of perception.
• The EU is perceived as having only modest global influence, with Russia viewed as having almost no global role.

2. Transatlantic Partners and Trust

• Canada is the most trusted transatlantic partner, followed by Germany and Sweden.
• Poland and Turkey are the least trusted, with Turkey receiving the lowest trust across all countries.
• U.S. citizens view their European partners as reliable, with France and Germany being the most trusted EU allies.
• There are generational differences in perceptions of U.S. influence, with younger respondents generally less trusting than older ones.

3. Priority Issues for Transatlantic Cooperation

• Global health and climate change are the top priorities for transatlantic cooperation, with trade and fighting terrorism following closely.
• The state of democracy is generally perceived as good, but Turkey, Poland, and Italy show more concern, with 27–39% of respondents in these countries believing their democracy is in danger.
• NATO is seen as important for national security across all transatlantic countries, especially in Poland, the UK, and the U.S.
• There is a clear transatlantic consensus for a tougher approach toward China, particularly on human rights, cybersecurity, and climate change.

4. National Influence in Europe

• Germany is perceived as the most influential European country, with 60% of European respondents selecting it.
• The UK and France are the next, with 19% and 7% respectively.
• Americans and Canadians believe the UK is the leading European power.
• There are notable differences in how EU and non-EU countries view the EU's influence.

5. Political and Societal Divides

• Political affiliations significantly influence perceptions of issues like climate change, terrorism, and migration.
• Far-right supporters in countries like France, Germany, and Sweden are more concerned about democracy, migration, and terrorism.
• Pro-business party supporters in the Netherlands and Germany are more likely to prioritize trade.
• Green Party supporters in Germany, Canada, and the Netherlands emphasize climate change as a top priority.

Main Points

• The U.S. continues to be seen as the dominant global power, but its influence has declined since the pandemic.
• China's influence is growing, but it is still perceived as secondary to the U.S.
• Democracy is generally viewed positively, but concerns are rising in certain countries like Turkey, Poland, and Italy.
• Climate change and global health are the top issues for transatlantic cooperation.
• NATO is seen as crucial for security, especially in Eastern Europe.
• Generational and political divides are evident, with younger and far-right respondents more skeptical of U.S. influence and more concerned about issues like migration and terrorism.

Key Statistics

• U.S. influence: 81% in the U.S., 55% in Germany, 56% in France, 51% in Italy.
• China's influence: 22% in Germany, 28% in France, 32% in Italy.
• EU influence: 14% on average, with the UK and Germany having the highest perceptions.
• Russia's influence: 4% on average, with the highest in Turkey (6%) and Poland (6%).
• Most trusted partner: Canada (75%), Germany (73%), Sweden (73%).
• Least trusted partner: Turkey (23%), Poland (45%).
• Democracy in danger: 39% in Turkey, 27% in Italy, 30% in Poland.

Conclusion

The report highlights the divergent views of transatlantic partners on global influence, trust, and priorities. While there is a shared concern for issues like climate change and global health, differences in national perceptions and political affiliations shape the transatlantic dialogue. Understanding these perspectives is essential for fostering cohesion and cooperation across the Atlantic.