飞机装备市场（英文版）_46页_2mb

Aerostructure Equipment Market Summary

Core Content

The aerostructure equipment market is analyzed in a comprehensive study report from December 2015, focusing on key drivers, market forecasts, segmentation, technological trends, and supplier dynamics. The market is categorized into six segments, with metal parts production out of scope. The main segments include automated production systems, automated assembly systems, small tools, and service offerings. Key technologies involve drilling, riveting, robotics, fiber placement, and tape laying, alongside positioning, measurement, and conveying systems.

Market Forecast

• 2020 Forecast: Market size is expected to grow, with the best-case scenario predicting USD 2.5 billion in 2025.
• 2025 Forecast: The worst-case scenario predicts a market size of USD 2.2 billion in 2025.
• Plateau Phase: Expected from 2020 to 2025, following growth until 2020.
• Investment Boom: The "golden age" of the industry is expected to continue for at least another 5 years.

Key Findings – Market

• Constant Growth: The market is expected to grow steadily due to rate increases, new aircraft programs, and automation.
• China's Potential: Emerging OEMs in China will present growth opportunities for established players due to a lack of local expertise.
• Boeing 737MAX: This aircraft will support increased demand for aerostructure tooling equipment.
• OEM Outsourcing: OEMs are shifting production towards suppliers, favoring turnkey capabilities and reducing the number of suppliers.
• Geopolitical Impact: Russia is currently constrained due to sanctions and a "Buy Russian" policy, limiting its market potential.

Key Findings – Products

• Automation: Fully automated assembly lines are essential to meet quality standards and rising production rates.
• Flexible Production: Equipment should be universally deployable to increase efficiency and reduce unit costs.
• Incremental Innovation: Modifications and retrofits are expected to secure sustainable demand.
• New Technologies: Robotics, welding, and 3D printing are emerging as important technologies, though 3D printing is not expected to have a major impact until 2025.
• New Materials: Composites are gaining importance, with research on CFK, GLARE, and thermoplastics.
• Industry 4.0: Automation is a prerequisite for "Industry 4.0" to influence the market significantly.

Key Findings – Customers

• Automation Requirements: Customers demand automation to meet quality and time targets, requiring knowledge transfer from suppliers.
• Outsourcing: OEMs are outsourcing more to reduce the number of suppliers and share risks.
• Dual Sourcing: OEMs are pursuing dual sourcing strategies, but this has negligible impact on tooling demand.
• Emerging OEMs: Companies like Bombardier, Embraer, and Mitsubishi are expanding into the single aisle market, with COMAC's impact uncertain until 2025.

Key Findings – Suppliers

• Consolidation: The market is expected to see continued mergers and acquisitions due to OEMs seeking fewer suppliers.
• Turnkey Capabilities: These are seen as critical assets, especially for international suppliers with automotive backgrounds.
• Fragmentation: There are many small, local companies alongside key suppliers like Broetje, Gemcor, and MTorres.
• Supplier Trends: Regional shifts in production, focus on core competencies, and partnerships with OEMs are expected.

Key Drivers for Global Aircraft Production

Market Model

The market is driven by global aircraft production, with new programs and rate increases as key factors. The forecast for new aircraft production between 2015 and 2025 is 60,300 units, with large commercial aircraft (LCA) expected to be 20,500 units. The report also highlights the importance of the service market and the role of OEMs in shaping the market through their outsourcing and sourcing strategies.

Conclusion

The aerostructure equipment market is poised for growth driven by automation, new aircraft programs, and increasing demand from emerging economies. While challenges such as geopolitical issues and limited technological know-how in some regions exist, the industry is expected to maintain a positive trajectory through 2025. Key players are focusing on turnkey solutions and global capabilities, while new technologies and materials are set to play a growing role in the future.