20260828-招银国际-翰森制药-03692.HK-Strong_1H26_earnings_beat_with_innovation_momentum_intact_5页_1mb
报告摘要
Hansoh Pharma (3692 HK) Summary
Core Content
Hansoh Pharma (3692 HK) delivered strong first-half of 2026 (1H26) results, with total revenue increasing by 11.7% year-over-year (YoY) to RMB8.30bn and product sales rising 14.3% YoY to RMB6.84bn, slightly ahead of expectations. Net profit for 1H26 reached RMB4.26bn, up 35.8% YoY, and adjusted net profit (excluding one-off investment income) rose 19% YoY to RMB3.72bn, which is 66% of the prior full-year estimate and beat the forecast. The company's performance was driven by improved gross margins and operating efficiency, with product gross margin at 90.2% (up from 88.4% in FY25) and the SG&A-to-sales ratio dropping to 32.0% (from 36.7% in FY25). R&D spending increased by 20.7% YoY to RMB1.74bn, with management guiding for around 30% full-year growth in R&D expenses.
Main Points
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Revenue Growth:
- 1H26: RMB8.30bn (+11.7% YoY)
- FY26E: RMB17.48bn (up 16.3% YoY from FY25A)
- FY27E: RMB18.76bn (+7.3% YoY)
- FY28E: RMB20.83bn (+11.0% YoY)
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Net Profit Growth:
- 1H26: RMB4.26bn (+35.8% YoY)
- FY26E: RMB7.21bn (+29.8% YoY)
- FY27E: RMB6.69bn (-7.3% YoY)
- FY28E: RMB7.09bn (+5.9% YoY)
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Earnings Per Share (EPS):
- 1H26: RMB0.74
- FY26E: RMB1.19
- FY27E: RMB1.10
- FY28E: RMB1.17
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Profit Margins:
- Gross margin: 91.37% (up +1.25ppt YoY)
- Operating margin: 48.65% (up +8.71ppt YoY)
- Net margin: 41.26% (up +7.38ppt YoY)
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Out-Licensing Income:
- Hansoh continues to generate recurring out-licensing income.
- The company's innovative portfolio is expected to compound value through a steady cadence of out-licensing deals.
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Innovation Pipeline:
- HS-20093 (B7-H3 ADC): Encouraging results in multiple tumor types, with two China Phase 3 trials meeting primary endpoints. GSK plans to advance it into global Phase 3 trials from 2H26 onward.
- HS-20089 (B7-H4 ADC): Rapid advancement into five global Phase 3 gynecologic cancer trials in 2026.
- HS-20094 (GLP-1/GIP): NDA-stage, showing strong weight loss with favorable gastrointestinal tolerability.
- HS-20118 (oral IL-23): Potential for once-weekly dosing via a NewCo structure.
- Other promising programs include fourth-generation EGFR TKI, EGFR/c-MET ADC, KRAS G12D inhibitor, SEZ6 ADC, oral PCSK9, OX2R, and P2X3.
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Valuation:
- Current price: HK$36.82
- Target price (TP): HK$49.12 (up from HK$47.19)
- 12-month upside: 33.4%
- DCF-based valuation: HK$49.12 per share
- Terminal growth rate: 3.5%
- WACC: 8.48%
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Financial Highlights:
- Strong cash flow from operations, with FY26E at RMB5.937bn.
- High liquidity, with cash and equivalents at RMB39.854bn in FY26E.
- Strong balance sheet with total assets expected to reach RMB48.523bn in FY26E.
Key Information
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Analyst Ratings:
- CMBIGM maintains a BUY rating.
- Target price (TP) is HK$49.12, reflecting strong 1H26 results and the company's continued innovation momentum.
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Outstanding Shares: 6,064.2 million
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Market Capitalization: HK$223,282 million
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Share Performance:
- 1-month: +14.0%
- 3-months: +8.9%
- 6-months: +5.3%
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Valuation Metrics:
- P/E (2026E): 26.5
- P/B (2026E): 4.8
- DCF per share (2026E): HK$42.24
Analysts
- Jill WU, CFA: (852) 3900 0842 | jillwu@cmbi.com.hk
- Andy WANG: (852) 3657 6288 | andywang@cmbi.com.hk
Disclaimer
- The report is not investment advice and should not be relied upon for investment decisions.
- CMBIGM does not guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the information.
- The value of investments may fluctuate and is not guaranteed.
- The report is for the use of intended recipients only and may not be reproduced, reprinted, sold, or published without prior written consent.
Risk Factors
- Investment in R&D may not yield the expected results.
- Market conditions and regulatory changes could impact performance.
- There may be conflicts of interest due to CMBIGM's involvement in the company's securities.
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